:Product: 19960713RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 195 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 13 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 12/2100Z
TO 13/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7978 (S10W89),
THE ONLY NUMBERED REGION, APPEARS TO BE TRANSITING THE WEST
LIMB WITHOUT SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 12/2100Z TO 13/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING MOSTLY QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 14 JUL-16 JUL
CLASS M    05/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           13 JUL  070
PREDICTED   14 JUL-16 JUL  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        13 JUL  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 12 JUL  011/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 JUL  010/009
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 JUL-16 JUL  010/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 14 JUL-16 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/01/01