:Product: 19960715RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 197 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 15 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 14/2100Z
TO 15/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE ARE NO NUMBERED
REGIONS ON THE VISIBLE DISK. THERE WERE NO FLARES.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 14/2100Z TO 15/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING MOSTLY QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 16 JUL-18 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           15 JUL  067
PREDICTED   16 JUL-18 JUL  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        15 JUL  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 14 JUL  008/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 JUL  008/009
PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 JUL-18 JUL  005/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 16 JUL-18 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01