:Product: 19960716RSGA.txt :Issued: 1996 Jul 16 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SDF NUMBER 198 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 16 JUL 1996 IA. ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 15/2100Z TO 16/2100Z: SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE WERE NO FLARES. THERE ARE NO NUMBERED REGIONS. IB. SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST: SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 15/2100Z TO 16/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. IIB. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET. III. EVENT PROBABILITIES 17 JUL-19 JUL CLASS M 01/01/01 CLASS X 01/01/01 PROTON 01/01/01 PCAF GREEN IV. PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX OBSERVED 16 JUL 067 PREDICTED 17 JUL-19 JUL 068/068/068 90 DAY MEAN 16 JUL 070 V. GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES OBSERVED AFR/AP 15 JUL 008/009 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 16 JUL 006/010 PREDICTED AFR/AP 17 JUL-19 JUL 005/005-005/005-005/005 VI. GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 17 JUL-19 JUL A. MIDDLE LATITUDES ACTIVE 05/05/05 MINOR STORM 01/01/01 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01 B. HIGH LATITUDES ACTIVE 10/10/10 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01