:Product: 19960717RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 17 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 199 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 17 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 16/2100Z
TO 17/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO SPOTTED REGIONS
VISIBLE ON THE SOLAR DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 16/2100Z TO 17/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE FIRST DAY OF THE FORECAST
WITH QUIET LEVELS EXPECTED THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 18 JUL-20 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           17 JUL  067
PREDICTED   18 JUL-20 JUL  067/067/067
90 DAY MEAN        17 JUL  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 16 JUL  008/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 17 JUL  012/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 18 JUL-20 JUL  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 18 JUL-20 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01