:Product: 19960725RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 25 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 207 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 25 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 24/2100Z
TO 25/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK IS AGAIN
SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE MIDWAY THROUGH THE PERIOD WHEN
OLD REGION 7978 (S11) RETURNS. IT PRODUCED AN X-CLASS EVENT ON
JULY 9.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 24/2100Z TO 25/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 26 JUL-28 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           25 JUL  068
PREDICTED   26 JUL-28 JUL  068/070/072
90 DAY MEAN        25 JUL  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 24 JUL  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 25 JUL  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 26 JUL-28 JUL  005/005-005/006-005/006
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 26 JUL-28 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01