:Product: 19960726RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 208 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 26 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 25/2100Z
TO 26/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGION 7980
(N10W02) EMERGED EARLY IN THE INTERVAL AS A SMALL BIPOLE. LITTLE
ELSE OF SIGNIFICANCE WAS REPORTED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW. HOWEVER, THE IMMINENT RETURN OF OLD REGION 7978 (S11)
THE SITE OF AN X-CLASS FLARE ON JULY 9, MAY BRING AN INCREASE
IN FLARE ACTIVITY.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET CONDITIONS THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 27 JUL-29 JUL
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           26 JUL  070
PREDICTED   27 JUL-29 JUL  070/072/074
90 DAY MEAN        26 JUL  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 25 JUL  007/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 JUL  007/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 JUL-29 JUL  005/006-005/006-005/007
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 27 JUL-29 JUL
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01