:Product: 19960730RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Jul 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 212 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 30 JUL 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 29/2100Z
TO 30/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 7981
(S10E34) PRODUCED SEVERAL B-CLASS SUBFLARES. OVERALL, THIS
REGION WAS STABLE AND RETAINED ITS BETA-GAMMA MAGNETIC
CONFIGURATION.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE
AT A VERY LOW LEVEL. REGION 7981 RETAINS THE CAPABILITY OF
PRODUCING ISOLATED C-CLASS EVENTS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 29/2100Z TO 30/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. SOLAR WIND
DATA SHOWED AN UNREMARKABLE STREAM IN THE EARTH'S VICINITY.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 31 JUL-02 AUG
CLASS M    05/05/05
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           30 JUL  080
PREDICTED   31 JUL-02 AUG  081/081/081
90 DAY MEAN        30 JUL  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 29 JUL  007/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 JUL  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 JUL-02 AUG  008/010-008/010-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 31 JUL-02 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01