:Product: 19960804RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Aug 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 217 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 AUG 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7981 (S09W33)
CONTINUES TO SLOWLY DECAY. IT ALSO CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SMALL
B-CLASS SUBFLARES. THERE ARE NO OTHER NUMBERED ACTIVE REGIONS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN
2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING MOSTLY QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 AUG-07 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 AUG  078
PREDICTED   05 AUG-07 AUG  076/076/074
90 DAY MEAN        04 AUG  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 03 AUG  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 AUG  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 AUG-07 AUG  008/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 AUG-07 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01