:Product: 19960807RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Aug 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 220 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 AUG 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A LONG DURATION C1.5 X-RAY
FLARE OCCURRED FROM 06/1910Z-06/2243Z. NO OPTICAL CORRELATION
OBSERVED. NEW REGION 7982 (N11E22) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST
PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 AUG-10 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 AUG  072
PREDICTED   08 AUG-10 AUG  070/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        07 AUG  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 06 AUG  008/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 AUG  007/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 AUG-10 AUG  007/007-007/007-007/007
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 AUG-10 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01