:Product: 19960808RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Aug 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 221 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 AUG 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. A C1.0 X-RAY FLARE
OCCURRED AT 07/2320Z WITH NO OPTICAL CORRELATION. A VERY FAINT
FRAGMENTED 21 DEGREE FILAMENT DISAPPEARED FROM N25W46 BETWEEN
07/1641Z AND 08/0508Z.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST
24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE AT QUIET LEVELS THROUGHOUT THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 AUG-11 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 AUG  070
PREDICTED   09 AUG-11 AUG  069/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        08 AUG  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 07 AUG  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 AUG  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 AUG-11 AUG  007/005-007/005-007/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 AUG-11 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01