:Product: 19960810RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Aug 10 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 223 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 10 AUG 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 09/2100Z
TO 10/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS REGION 7981
ROTATED OFF THE LIMB.  REGION 7983 (N27E20), ORIGINALLY SN06,
WAS NUMBERED AND CLASSIFIED A BETA TYPE GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 09/2100Z TO 10/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS UNSETTLED AT THE START OF THE
PERIOD, DECREASING TO QUIET FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 11 AUG-13 AUG
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           10 AUG  072
PREDICTED   11 AUG-13 AUG  072/072/071
90 DAY MEAN        10 AUG  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 09 AUG  008/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 AUG  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 AUG-13 AUG  007/005-007/005-007/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 11 AUG-13 AUG
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01