:Product: 19960905RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Sep 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 249 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 SEP 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK IS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT MIDDLE
LATITUDES, AND QUIET TO ACTIVE AT HIGH LATITUDE SITES. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX DECLINED TO MODERATE LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 SEP-08 SEP
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 SEP  070
PREDICTED   06 SEP-08 SEP  070/069/069
90 DAY MEAN        05 SEP  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 04 SEP  009/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 SEP  007/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 SEP-08 SEP  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 SEP-08 SEP
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01