:Product: 19960909RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Sep 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 253 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 09 SEP 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 08/2100Z
TO 09/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A VERY LOW LEVEL. THE
DISK WAS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 08/2100Z TO 09/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 10 SEP-12 SEP
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           09 SEP  068
PREDICTED   10 SEP-12 SEP  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        09 SEP  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 08 SEP  006/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 SEP  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 SEP-12 SEP  010/009-010/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 10 SEP-12 SEP
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05