:Product: 19961007RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Oct 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 281 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 OCT 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS THE ENTIRE VISIBLE
DISK AMD LIMB REMAIN FEATURELESS AND QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL
LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH
ACTIVITY INCREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND
THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 OCT-10 OCT
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 OCT  068
PREDICTED   08 OCT-10 OCT  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        07 OCT  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 06 OCT  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 OCT  005/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 OCT-10 OCT  010/008-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 OCT-10 OCT
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05