:Product: 19961008RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Oct 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 282 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 OCT 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS THE VISIBLE DISK
REMAINED SPOTLESS FOR A 26TH CONSECUTIVE DAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST
24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND QUIET TO
TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 OCT-11 OCT
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 OCT  068
PREDICTED   09 OCT-11 OCT  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        08 OCT  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 07 OCT  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 OCT  007/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 OCT-11 OCT  010/005-010/005-010/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 OCT-11 OCT
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01