:Product: 19961026RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Oct 26 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 300 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 26 OCT 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 25/2100Z
TO 26/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  NO FLARES OCCURRED.
NEW REGION 7992 (S13W29), A THREE SPOT 'CRO' GROUP, WAS NUMBERED
TODAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING A SINGLE
PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS DURING THE INTERVAL
26/0000-0300Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
CONTINUED MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND
FALLING OFF TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 27 OCT-29 OCT
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           26 OCT  071
PREDICTED   27 OCT-29 OCT  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        26 OCT  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 25 OCT  006/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 OCT  007/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 OCT-29 OCT  015/010-015/008-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 27 OCT-29 OCT
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/20/10
MINOR STORM           20/15/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                30/20/10
MINOR STORM           20/15/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01