:Product: 19961028RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Oct 28 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 302 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 28 OCT 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 27/2100Z
TO 28/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
THE VISIBLE DISK IS CURRENTLY SPOTLESS AND QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 27/2100Z TO 28/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND
MOSTLY QUIET ON DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 29 OCT-31 OCT
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           28 OCT  068
PREDICTED   29 OCT-31 OCT  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        28 OCT  071
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 27 OCT  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 28 OCT  011/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 29 OCT-31 OCT  010/008-010/006-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 29 OCT-31 OCT
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01