:Product: 19961031RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Oct 31 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 305 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 31 OCT 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 30/2100Z
TO 31/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK IS
STILL SPOTLESS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 30/2100Z TO 31/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON
FLUX RANGED FROM MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST
PERIOD. GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX LEVELS ARE
EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODERATE TO HIGH FOR THE NEXT 36 TO 48 HOURS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 01 NOV-03 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           31 OCT  070
PREDICTED   01 NOV-03 NOV  070/070/068
90 DAY MEAN        31 OCT  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 30 OCT  011/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 OCT  012/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 NOV-03 NOV  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 01 NOV-03 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01