:Product: 19961101RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 306 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 31/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  THE VISIBLE DISK IS
STILL SPOTLESS WITH NO SIGNIFICANT ACTIVITY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 31/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON
FLUX RANGED FROM MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX LEVELS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN MODERATE
TO HIGH FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 NOV-04 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 NOV  070
PREDICTED   02 NOV-04 NOV  070/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        01 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 31 OCT  010/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 NOV  003/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 NOV-04 NOV  005/005-005/005-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 NOV-04 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01