:Product: 19961102RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 307 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 02 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 01/2100Z
TO 02/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE DISK IS SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX WAS HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO MILDLY UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 03 NOV-05 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           02 NOV  069
PREDICTED   03 NOV-05 NOV  069/069/068
90 DAY MEAN        02 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 01 NOV  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 NOV  002/004
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 NOV-05 NOV  005/005-005/007-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 03 NOV-05 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/05