:Product: 19961103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 308 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 03 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 02/2100Z
TO 03/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE SOLAR DISK CON-
TINUES TO BE SPOTLESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV
ELECTRON FLUX HAS BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET WITH OCCASIONAL UNSETTLED PERIODS
OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 04 NOV-06 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           03 NOV  070
PREDICTED   04 NOV-06 NOV  069/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        03 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 02 NOV  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 NOV  003/002
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 NOV-06 NOV  005/005-010/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 04 NOV-06 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01