:Product: 19961105RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 310 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK IS
SPOTLESS AND NO SIGNIFICANT DISK OR LIMB ACTIVITY WAS REPORTED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS AT MIDDLE LATITUDES
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS AT HIGH LATITUDES.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 NOV-08 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 NOV  068
PREDICTED   06 NOV-08 NOV  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        05 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 04 NOV  009/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 NOV  005/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 NOV-08 NOV  005/007-005/007-005/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 NOV-08 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/05/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01