:Product: 19961107RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 07 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 312 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 07 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 06/2100Z
TO 07/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. THE DISK WAS
SPOTLESS AND NEARLY FEATURELESS. A SMALL CORONAL HOLE THAT
WAS VISIBLE LAST ROTATION SHOULD BE APPROACHING CENTRAL
MERIDIAN AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER, THIS HOLE IS NOT CURRENTLY
VISIBLE IN X-RAY, EUV, OR INFRARED WAVELENGTHS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT
VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 06/2100Z TO 07/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED DURING THE
PERIOD.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE
DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 08 NOV-10 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           07 NOV  069
PREDICTED   08 NOV-10 NOV  068/068/068
90 DAY MEAN        07 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 06 NOV  007/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 NOV  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 NOV-10 NOV  005/010-008/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 08 NOV-10 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/10
MINOR STORM           01/01/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05