:Product: 19961112RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 317 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 12 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 11/2100Z
TO 12/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
NEW REGION 7995 (N02E62) ROTATED INTO VIEW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 11/2100Z TO 12/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO ACTIVE. THE MOST DISTURBED
PERIOD OCCURRED FROM 12/0600-0900Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING UNSETTLED TO
ACTIVE DUE TO A RECURRENT DISTURBANCE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 13 NOV-15 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           12 NOV  072
PREDICTED   13 NOV-15 NOV  072/072/074
90 DAY MEAN        12 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 11 NOV  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 NOV  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 NOV-15 NOV  010/010-010/020-010/025
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 13 NOV-15 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/05/05