:Product: 19961119RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 19 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 324 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 19 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 18/2100Z
TO 19/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 18/2100Z TO 19/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC
ELECTRONS REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 20 NOV-22 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           19 NOV  074
PREDICTED   20 NOV-22 NOV  074/074/072
90 DAY MEAN        19 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 18 NOV  014/012
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 19 NOV  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 20 NOV-22 NOV  010/015-010/010-005/020
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 20 NOV-22 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01