:Product: 19961120RSGA.txt :Issued: 1996 Nov 20 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SDF NUMBER 325 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 20 NOV 1996 IA. ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 19/2100Z TO 20/2100Z: SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. IB. SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST: SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 19/2100Z TO 20/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRONS REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS FOR THE PAST 12 HOURS. IIB. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED. III. EVENT PROBABILITIES 21 NOV-23 NOV CLASS M 01/01/01 CLASS X 01/01/01 PROTON 01/01/01 PCAF GREEN IV. PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX OBSERVED 20 NOV 075 PREDICTED 21 NOV-23 NOV 074/072/072 90 DAY MEAN 20 NOV 070 V. GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES OBSERVED AFR/AP 19 NOV 011/008 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 20 NOV 008/007 PREDICTED AFR/AP 21 NOV-23 NOV 010/008-005/008-005/008 VI. GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 21 NOV-23 NOV A. MIDDLE LATITUDES ACTIVE 10/05/05 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01 B. HIGH LATITUDES ACTIVE 20/15/15 MINOR STORM 10/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 05/05/05