:Product: 19961122RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 327 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. SEVERAL SUBFLARES
FROM REGIONS 4999 (S04E48) AND 4997 (N05W26) HAVE OCCURRED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW WITH OCCASIONAL SUBFLARES EXPECTED.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 NOV-25 NOV
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 NOV  083
PREDICTED   23 NOV-25 NOV  080/078/076
90 DAY MEAN        22 NOV  070
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 21 NOV  005/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 NOV  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 NOV-25 NOV  005/008-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 NOV-25 NOV
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01