:Product: 19961130RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Nov 30 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 335 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 30 NOV 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 29/2100Z
TO 30/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S04W61)
CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL SUBFLARES SINCE YESTERDAY'S M-
CLASS ACTIVITY. THE REGION IS DECAYING SLOWLY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. C-CLASS FLARES ARE LIKELY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF ANOTHER
SMALL M-CLASS FLARE BEFORE 7999 EXITS THE VISIBLE DISK.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 29/2100Z TO 30/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 01 DEC-03 DEC
CLASS M    10/10/10
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           30 NOV  088
PREDICTED   01 DEC-03 DEC  085/082/080
90 DAY MEAN        30 NOV  072
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 29 NOV  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 NOV  002/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 DEC-03 DEC  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 01 DEC-03 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01