:Product: 19961201RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 336 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 30/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S03W75)
CONTINUES TO PRODUCE SMALL FLARES. THE LARGEST WAS A C8/1N
AT 30/2103Z. REGIONS 8001 (S19W68) AND 8002 (S24W18) WERE
NUMBERED.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
LOW. ANOTHER SMALL M-CLASS FLARE MAY OCCUR BEFORE 7999 CROSSES
THE WEST LIMB.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 30/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 DEC-04 DEC
CLASS M    10/10/10
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 DEC  083
PREDICTED   02 DEC-04 DEC  080/078/075
90 DAY MEAN        01 DEC  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 30 NOV  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 DEC  002/002
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 DEC-04 DEC  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 DEC-04 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01