:Product: 19961203RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 338 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 03 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 02/2100Z
TO 03/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 PRODUCED A
FINAL C-CLASS FLARE (A C1/1F AT 02/2353Z) BEFORE DEPARTING THE
VISIBLE SOLAR DISK. THE REMAINDER OF THE SUN WAS QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 04 DEC-06 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           03 DEC  073
PREDICTED   04 DEC-06 DEC  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        03 DEC  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 02 DEC  009/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 DEC  008/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 DEC-06 DEC  010/005-010/005-010/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 04 DEC-06 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01