:Product: 19961204RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 339 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
THE VISIBLE DISK IS QUIET AND ESSENTIALLY FEATURELESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS FOR
THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH A SINGLE INTERVAL OF UNSETTLED
CONDITIONS RECORDED DURING THE PERIOD 04/1500-1800Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND THEN QUIET TO
UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 DEC-07 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 DEC  071
PREDICTED   05 DEC-07 DEC  072/072/070
90 DAY MEAN        04 DEC  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 03 DEC  007/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 DEC  006/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 DEC-07 DEC  005/005-010/010-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 DEC-07 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01