:Product: 19961205RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 05 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 340 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 05 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  04/2100Z
TO 05/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. THE
VISIBLE DISK REMAINS QUIET.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 04/2100Z TO 05/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGMETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE
PAST 24 HOURSCAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, AND
THEN MOSTLY QUIET ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 06 DEC-08 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           05 DEC 070
PREDICTED   06 DEC-08 DEC  071/071/070
90 DAY MEAN        05 DEC 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 04 DEC  009/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 DEC  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 DEC-08 DEC  010/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 06 DEC-08 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01