:Product: 19961206RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 341 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. THE
VISIBLE DISK IS QUIET AND FEATURELESS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/21ICAL ACTIVIT
Y FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, WITH ACTIVITY INCREASING
TO UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 DEC-09 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 DEC 070
PREDICTED   07 DEC-09 DEC  070/070/070
90 DAY MEAN        06 DEC 073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 DEC  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 DEC  002/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 DEC-09 DEC  005/005-005/005-010/012
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 DEC-09 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/25
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/25
MINOR STORM           05/05/10MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/05