:Product: 19961212RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 347 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 12 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 11/2100Z
TO 12/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 11/2100Z TO 12/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED
LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN QUIET TO
UNSETTLED FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 13 DEC-15 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           12 DEC  081
PREDICTED   13 DEC-15 DEC  082/082/082
90 DAY MEAN        12 DEC  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 11 DEC  013/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 DEC  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 DEC-15 DEC  005/008-010/008-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 13 DEC-15 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/25/25
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01