:Product: 19961213RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 13 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 348 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 13 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 12/2100Z
TO 13/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 12/2100Z TO 13/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS
FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX
REACHED HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED THE ENTIRE PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 14 DEC-16 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           13 DEC  082
PREDICTED   14 DEC-16 DEC  082/082/080
90 DAY MEAN        13 DEC  073
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 12 DEC  009/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 13 DEC  006/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 14 DEC-16 DEC  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 14 DEC-16 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                20/20/20
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    05/05/01