:Product: 19961215RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 15 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 350 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 15 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 14/2100Z
TO 15/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF
FLARE ACTIVITY OCCURRED AS BOTH REGIONS, 8003 (S29W88) AND 8004
(N06E20), WERE QUIET AND STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 14/2100Z TO 15/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 16 DEC-18 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           15 DEC  085
PREDICTED   16 DEC-18 DEC  084/084/084
90 DAY MEAN        15 DEC  074
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 14 DEC  004/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 15 DEC  010/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 16 DEC-18 DEC  005/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 16 DEC-18 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01