:Product: 19961222RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1996 Dec 22 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 357 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 22 DEC 1996
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  21/2100Z
TO 22/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGION 8008 (S04E03)
WAS NUMBERED. IT IS AN EXTENDED SPOTLESS PLAGE WHICH PRODUCED A
SMALL OPTICAL FLARE AND ASSOCIATED B-CLASS X-RAY BURST YESTERDAY.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 21/2100Z TO 22/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 23 DEC-25 DEC
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           22 DEC 082
PREDICTED   23 DEC-25 DEC  080/076/074
90 DAY MEAN        22 DEC 075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 DEC  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 DEC  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 DEC-25 DEC  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 23 DEC-25 DEC
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01