:Product: 19961226RSGA.txt :Issued: 1996 Dec 26 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SDF NUMBER 361 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 26 DEC 1996 IA. ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z: SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS QUIET AND VOID OF ACTIVE REGIONS. IB. SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST: SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 25/2100Z TO 26/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. IIB. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST: THE GEOMAGENTIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY INCREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE. III. EVENT PROBABILITIES 27 DEC-29 DEC CLASS M 01/01/01 CLASS X 01/01/01 PROTON 01/01/01 PCAF GREEN IV. PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX OBSERVED 26 DEC 076 PREDICTED 27 DEC-29 DEC 073/072/070 90 DAY MEAN 26 DEC 075 V. GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES OBSERVED AFR/AP 25 DEC 006/006 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 DEC 004/004 PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 DEC-29 DEC 005/005-005/008-010/010 VI. GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 27 DEC-29 DEC A. MIDDLE LATITUDES ACTIVE 15/15/15 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01 B. HIGH LATITUDES ACTIVE 15/15/15 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01