:Product: 19970103RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jan 03 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 3 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 03 JAN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  02/2100Z
TO 03/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. A SMALL SPOT WAS
INTERMITTENTLY VISIBLE NEAR S28E32 DURING THE PERIOD BUT NOT LONG
ENOUGH TO QUALIFY AS A NEW REGION.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A
VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE FIELD SHOULD REMAIN QUIET
FOR 04 JAN. QUIET TO UNSETTLED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 05-06 JAN.
ISOLATED ACTIVE PERIODS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT INTERVAL.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 04 JAN-06 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           03 JAN 073
PREDICTED   04 JAN-06 JAN  073/075/077
90 DAY MEAN        03 JAN 075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 JAN  006/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 JAN  002/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 JAN-06 JAN  005/005-008/008-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 04 JAN-06 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/20/20
MINOR STORM           01/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/25/25
MINOR STORM           01/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01