:Product: 19970108RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jan 08 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 8 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 08 JAN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  07/2100Z
TO 08/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 8009 (S05W57) IS
SPOTLESS. THE REMAINDER OF THE SOLAR DISK IS QUIET AND STABLE.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 07/2100Z TO 08/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET WITH ONE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED
ACTIVITY FROM 03-06Z.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS AND THEN INCREASE
TO MOSTLY UNSETTLED LEVELS ON DAY THREE.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 09 JAN-11 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           08 JAN 074
PREDICTED   09 JAN-11 JAN  074/074/076
90 DAY MEAN        08 JAN 076
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 07 JAN  011/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 08 JAN  007/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 09 JAN-11 JAN  005/008-005/008-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 09 JAN-11 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/05/05
MINOR STORM           01/01/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01