:Product: 19970109RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jan 09 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 009 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 09 JAN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  08/2100Z
TO 09/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. SMALL
NEW REGION 8010 (N38W48) EMERGED ON THE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 08/2100Z TO 09/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT DAY, BECOMING QUIET TO UNSETTLED
BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 10 JAN-12 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           09 JAN 074
PREDICTED   10 JAN-12 JAN  074/076/076
90 DAY MEAN        09 JAN 076
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 08 JAN  007/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 09 JAN  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 10 JAN-12 JAN  005/008-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 10 JAN-12 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           01/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/10
MINOR STORM           01/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01