:Product: 19970112RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jan 12 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 012 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 12 JAN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  11/2100Z
TO 12/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THERE ARE CURRENTLY NO
SUNSPOT GROUPS ON THE VISIBLE DISK.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 11/2100Z TO 12/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE AT MIDDLE LATITUDES
AND QUIET TO STORM AT HIGH LATITUDES. ACTIVE TO STORM CONDITIONS
OCCURRED FROM 12/0730-0900Z, OTHERWISE THE FIELD WAS QUIET. THE
GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 13 JAN-15 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           12 JAN 075
PREDICTED   13 JAN-15 JAN  074/074/074
90 DAY MEAN        12 JAN 076
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 11 JAN  019/013
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 12 JAN  010/009
PREDICTED AFR/AP 13 JAN-15 JAN  010/008-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 13 JAN-15 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/05
MINOR STORM           05/01/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/01
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01