:Product: 19970116RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Jan 16 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 016 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 16 JAN 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  15/2100Z
TO 16/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW.  REGION 8011 (S05E08) HAS
6 SPOTS AND IS A BXO BETA GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 15/2100Z TO 16/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES. THE GREATER
THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 17 JAN-19 JAN
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           16 JAN 075
PREDICTED   17 JAN-19 JAN  076/075/075
90 DAY MEAN        16 JAN 076
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 15 JAN  005/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 16 JAN  003/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 17 JAN-19 JAN  005/005-005/005-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 17 JAN-19 JAN
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/15/20
MINOR STORM           05/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01