:Product: 19970201RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Feb 01 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 032 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 01 FEB 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  31/2100Z
TO 01/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. REGION
8015 (N04W08), THE ONLY ACTIVE REGION ON THE VISIBLE DISK, REMAINS
STABLE AS A FOUR SPOT 'BXO' BETA GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 31/2100Z TO 01/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24
HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 02 FEB-04 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           01 FEB 071
PREDICTED   02 FEB-04 FEB  072/072/072
90 DAY MEAN        01 FEB 077
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 JAN  010/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 FEB  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 FEB-04 FEB  005/005-005/008-005/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 02 FEB-04 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01