:Product: 19970204RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Feb 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 035 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 FEB 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW TO LOW. REGION 8015
(N05W50) IS A 'DAO' BETA WITH 21 SPOTS AND REGION 8016 (S12W04) IS A
'BXO' BETA WITH 12 SPOTS. THERE WAS A 'C' CLASS EVENT FROM REGION
8016 AT 1111Z.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
VERY LOW TO LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET AT ALL LATITUDES. THE GREATER
THAN 2 MEV ELECTRONS HAVE BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 FEB-07 FEB
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 FEB 081
PREDICTED   05 FEB-07 FEB  078/078/075
90 DAY MEAN        04 FEB 077
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 FEB  006/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 FEB  005/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 FEB-07 FEB  005/008-005/008-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 FEB-07 FEB
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/15
MINOR STORM           10/10/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01