:Product: 19970302RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 02 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 061 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 02 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  01/2100Z
TO 02/2100Z:  THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY
REMAINED VERY LOW.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT VERY
LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 01/2100Z TO 02/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD BEGAN THE PERIOD WITH QUIET CONDITIONS.
GENERALLY ACTIVE LEVELS WERE OBSERVED FROM 02/0300-1200Z. SOME HIGH
LATITUDE SITES EXPERIENCED STORM CONDITIONS DURING THAT INTERVAL.
THE FIELD RETURNED TO QUIET CONDITIONS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD. WHEN COMPARED TO 01 MAR, SOLAR WIND VELOCITY DECREASED BY
ABOUT 100 KM/S DURING THE PERIOD. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE HIGH.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ISOLATED
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THAT TIME.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 03 MAR-05 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           02 MAR 072
PREDICTED   03 MAR-05 MAR  072/072/072
90 DAY MEAN        02 MAR 075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 01 MAR  011/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 02 MAR  011/012
PREDICTED AFR/AP 03 MAR-05 MAR  010/010-010/010-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 03 MAR-05 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/10/10
MINOR STORM           10/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01