:Product: 19970303RSGA.txt :Issued: 1997 Mar 03 2200 UTC # Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, # Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force. # JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SDF NUMBER 062 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 03 MAR 1997 IA. ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z: THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. IB. SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST: SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. IIA. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 02/2100Z TO 03/2100Z: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE PERIOD. SOLAR WIND VELOCITY CONTINUED TO DECLINE. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT CONTINUED HIGH. IIB. GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST: THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. III. EVENT PROBABILITIES 04 MAR-06 MAR CLASS M 01/01/01 CLASS X 01/01/01 PROTON 01/01/01 PCAF GREEN IV. PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX OBSERVED 03 MAR 074 PREDICTED 04 MAR-06 MAR 074/074/074 90 DAY MEAN 03 MAR 075 V. GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES OBSERVED AFR/AP 02 MAR 014/012 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 MAR 004/005 PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 MAR-06 MAR 005/008-005/008-005/008 VI. GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 04 MAR-06 MAR A. MIDDLE LATITUDES ACTIVE 10/10/10 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01 B. HIGH LATITUDES ACTIVE 15/15/15 MINOR STORM 05/05/05 MAJOR-SEVERE STORM 01/01/01