:Product: 19970304RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 04 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 063 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 04 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  03/2100Z
TO 04/2100Z:  THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED
VERY LOW. RECENT X-RAY IMAGES SHOW TWO SMALL REGIONS ABOUT TO ROTATE
OVER THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST LIMBS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
AT VERY LOW LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 03/2100Z TO 04/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT
GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT REMAINED AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD SHOULD BE
QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. ENERGETIC
ELECTRON FLUXES SHOULD BEGIN TO DECLINE IN THE 05-06 MAR PERIOD.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 05 MAR-07 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           04 MAR 074
PREDICTED   05 MAR-07 MAR  075/076/076
90 DAY MEAN        04 MAR 075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 03 MAR  008/005
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 04 MAR  004/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 05 MAR-07 MAR  005/008-005/008-008/008
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 05 MAR-07 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           05/05/10
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01