:Product: 19970306RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 06 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 065 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 06 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  05/2100Z
TO 06/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NEW REGION 8020 (N06E74)
ROTATED INTO VIEW AND IS A SIMPLE, H-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP. OCCASIONAL
B-CLASS FLARES WERE REPORTED FROM THIS REGION: THE LARGEST WAS A
B8/SF AT 0049Z. FREQUENT OCCURRENCE OF TYPE III RADIO SWEEPS WAS
ALSO NOTED DURING THE LAST 24 HOURS.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 05/2100Z TO 06/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
CONDITIONS WERE SOMEWHAT ENHANCED FROM 0300-1500Z: MID-LATITUDES
WERE MOSTLY UNSETTLED, AND HIGH LATITUDES WERE UNSETTLED TO SLIGHTLY
ACTIVE. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUXES WERE BELOW HIGH
LEVELS (1000 PFU) FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 07 MAR-09 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           06 MAR 075
PREDICTED   07 MAR-09 MAR  078/079/080
90 DAY MEAN        06 MAR 075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 05 MAR  011/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 06 MAR  010/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 07 MAR-09 MAR  005/008-008/008-010/010
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 07 MAR-09 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                05/10/15
MINOR STORM           01/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/15
MINOR STORM           01/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01