:Product: 19970314RSGA.txt
:Issued: 1997 Mar 14 2200 UTC
# Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
# Space Environment Center and the U.S. Air Force.
#
JOINT USAF/NOAA REPORT OF SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
SDF NUMBER 073 ISSUED AT 2200Z ON 14 MAR 1997
IA.  ANALYSIS OF SOLAR ACTIVE REGIONS AND ACTIVITY FROM  13/2100Z
TO 14/2100Z:  SOLAR ACTIVITY HAS BEEN VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED.
REGION 8020 (N08W31) IS A 7 SPOT 'AXX' GROUP, REGION 8021 (S29W32)
IS A 4 SPOT 'BXO' GROUP, AND REGION 8022 (S05W21) IS A 2 SPOT 'BXO'
GROUP.
IB.  SOLAR ACTIVITY FORECAST:  SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY
LOW.
IIA.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY SUMMARY FROM 13/2100Z TO 14/2100Z:
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET.
IIB.  GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY FORECAST:  THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS, WITH THE
CHANCE FOR ISOLATED PERIODS OF ACTIVE CONDITIONS DURING DAYS ONE AND
TWO.
III.  EVENT PROBABILITIES 15 MAR-17 MAR
CLASS M    01/01/01
CLASS X    01/01/01
PROTON     01/01/01
PCAF       GREEN
IV.  PENTICTON 10.7 CM FLUX
OBSERVED           14 MAR 076
PREDICTED   15 MAR-17 MAR  075/075/074
90 DAY MEAN        14 MAR 075
V.  GEOMAGNETIC A INDICES
OBSERVED AFR/AP 13 MAR  009/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 14 MAR  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 15 MAR-17 MAR  005/010-005/005-005/005
VI.  GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY PROBABILITIES 15 MAR-17 MAR
A.  MIDDLE LATITUDES
ACTIVE                10/10/05
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01
B.  HIGH LATITUDES
ACTIVE                15/15/10
MINOR STORM           05/05/05
MAJOR-SEVERE STORM    01/01/01